By Kelly M. Greenhill
Big, interesting numbers are often utilized in coverage debates and media reporting: "At least 200,000-250,000 humans died within the warfare in Bosnia." "There are 3 million baby squaddies in Africa." "More than 650,000 civilians were killed because of the U.S. profession of Iraq." "Between 600,000 and 800,000 girls are trafficked throughout borders each year." "Money laundering represents up to 10 percentage of world GDP." "Internet baby porn is a $20 billion-a-year industry."
Peter Andreas and Kelly M. Greenhill see just one challenge: those numbers are most likely fake. Their persevered use and abuse mirror a miles better and troubling trend: policymakers and the media naively or intentionally settle for hugely politicized and questionable statistical claims approximately actions which are tremendous tricky to degree. for this reason, we too usually turn into trapped by means of those legendary numbers, with perverse and counterproductive consequences.
This challenge exists in myriad coverage nation-states. however it is especially suggested in facts relating to the politically charged nation-states of world crime and conflict-numbers of individuals killed in massacres and through genocides, the scale of refugee flows, the significance of the illicit international alternate in medications and humans, etc. In Sex, medications, and physique Counts, political scientists, anthropologists, sociologists, and coverage analysts significantly research the murky origins of a few of those information and hint their outstanding proliferation. in addition they examine the traditional metrics used to guage coverage effectiveness in battling difficulties similar to terrorist financing, intercourse trafficking, and the drug trade.
Contributors: Peter Andreas, Brown collage; Thomas J. Biersteker, Graduate Institute of overseas and improvement Studies-Geneva; Sue E. Eckert, Brown collage; David A. Feingold, Ophidian examine Institute and UNESCO; H. Richard Friman, Marquette college; Kelly M. Greenhill, Tufts collage and Harvard college; John Hagan, Northwestern college; Lara J. Nettelfield, Institut Barcelona D'Estudis Internacionals and Simon Fraser college; Wenona Rymond-Richmond, collage of Massachusetts Amherst; Winifred Tate, Colby university; Kay B. Warren, Brown University
Detect how the main relied on method of facts at the present time is just robust with the newest market-leading textual content from revered authors Anderson/Sweeney/Williams. data FOR enterprise AND ECONOMICS, 11e introduces sound statistical technique inside a powerful functions environment. The authors sincerely exhibit how statistical effects supply insights into company judgements and current options to modern company difficulties. New circumstances and greater than 350 genuine company examples and remarkable workouts, a hundred and fifty of that are new during this variation, current the most recent statistical facts and company info. With this book's finished insurance and unwavering accuracy, you decide the subjects top in your direction, together with thorough assurance of the newest types of MiniTab 15 and Excel 2007, besides StatTools and different prime Excel 2007 statistical add-ins inside bankruptcy appendices. Author-written aid fabrics and CengageNOW on-line direction administration procedure presents time-saving, entire aid to make sure pupil figuring out. select Anderson/Sweeney/Williams' facts FOR company AND ECONOMICS, 11e for the easily robust statistical resolution you wish in your direction.
By Kaiser Fung
WHAT ARE the percentages you are going to WIN THE LOTTERY?
How lengthy will your children wait in line at Disney global?
Who comes to a decision that “standardized assessments” are reasonable?
Why do road engineers construct slow-moving ramps?
What does it suggest, statistically, to be an “Average Joe”?
NUMBERS RULE YOUR WORLD
within the renowned culture of eye-opening bestsellers like Freakonomics, The Tipping element, and great Crunchers, this attention-grabbing booklet from well known statistician and blogger Kaiser Fung takes you contained in the hidden global of evidence and figures that have an effect on you each day, in each method.
These are the data that rule your lifestyles, your activity, your go back and forth, your holiday, your foodstuff, your well-being, your funds, and your luck. this can be how engineers calculate your caliber of dwelling, how firms make certain your wishes, and the way politicians estimate your reviews. those are the numbers you by no means imagine about-even even though they play a very important function in each point of your lifestyles.
What you study may possibly shock you, amuse you, or maybe enrage you. yet there is something you will not have the capacity to deny: Numbers Rule Your World…
"An effortless learn with a tremendous benefit."
―Fareed Zakaria, CNN
"For those that have nervousness approximately how association data-mining is impacting their international, Kaiser Fung pulls again the curtain to bare the nice and the undesirable of predictive analytics."
―Ian Ayres,Yale professor and writer of Super Crunchers: Why considering via Numbers is the hot option to Be Smart
"A booklet that engages us with tales journalist may write, the compelling tales in the back of the tales as illuminated through the numbers, and the dynamics that the numbers reveal."
―John Sall, govt vice chairman, SAS Institute
"Little did i think, whilst I picked up Kaiser Fung's publication, that i'd develop into so entranced through it - an illuminating and available exploration of the ability of statistical research for these folks who've no earlier education in a box that he explores so ably."
―Peter Clarke, writer of Keynes: the increase, Fall, and go back of the twentieth Century's so much Influential Economist
"A large publication. . . . to be able to know how to take advantage of records, tips on how to imagine with numbers and but to do that with out getting misplaced in equations, if you have been trying to find the publication to release the door to logical puzzling over difficulties, good, you'll be happy to grasp that you're maintaining that ebook on your hands."
―Daniel Finkelstein, govt Editor, The instances of London
"I completely loved this obtainable publication and enthusiastically suggest it to someone seeking to comprehend and relish the position of facts and knowledge research in fixing difficulties and in making a larger world."
―Michael Sherman, Texas A&M collage, American Statistician
This textbook presents a unified and self-contained presentation of the most ways to and ideas of mathematical records. It collects the fundamental mathematical principles and instruments wanted as a foundation for extra critical examine or perhaps self reliant learn in records. nearly all of present textbooks in mathematical records stick with the classical asymptotic framework. but, as sleek information has replaced speedily lately, new equipment and methods have seemed. The emphasis is on finite pattern habit, huge parameter dimensions, and version misspecifications. the current publication presents a completely self-contained creation to the realm of contemporary mathematical data, gathering the elemental wisdom, ideas and findings wanted for doing extra examine within the smooth theoretical and utilized facts. This textbook is essentially meant for graduate and postdoc scholars and younger researchers who're drawn to glossy statistical tools.
By Stephen G. Powell, Kenneth R. Baker
Now in its 3rd variation, Management Science is helping company execs achieve the fundamental talents had to boost genuine services in enterprise modeling. the largest swap within the textual content is the conversion of software program from Crystal Ball to danger Solver to mirror alterations within the box. extra insurance of administration technological know-how issues has been extra. Broader assurance of Excel demonstrates the right way to create types. extra open-ended case experiences which are much less established have additionally been integrated besides new workouts. those alterations may also help company pros the way to practice the data within the box.
By Alan Agresti
Praise for the 1st Edition
"This is a wonderful textual content from which to educate specific info research, at a number of degrees. . . [t]his booklet might be very hugely recommended."
—Short publication Reviews
"Of nice curiosity to power readers is the diversity of fields which are represented within the examples: wellbeing and fitness care, monetary, executive, product advertising, and activities, to call a few."
—Journal of caliber Technology
"Alan Agresti has written one other impressive account of the research of express data."
The use of statistical tools for express information is ever expanding in latest global. An advent to express information research, moment Edition offers an utilized creation to an important equipment for examining specific information. This new version summarizes tools that experience lengthy performed a admired function in facts research, akin to chi-squared exams, and likewise areas distinctive emphasis on logistic regression and different modeling options for univariate and correlated multivariate express responses.
This moment variation features:
- Two new chapters at the equipment for clustered info, with an emphasis on generalized estimating equations (GEE) and random results models
- A unified point of view in response to generalized linear models
- An emphasis on logistic regression modeling
- An appendix that demonstrates using SAS(r) for all methods
- An pleasing historic viewpoint at the improvement of the methods
- Specialized tools for ordinal facts, small samples, multicategory information, and coupled pairs
- More than a hundred analyses of actual info units and approximately three hundred exercises
Written in an utilized, nontechnical kind, the publication illustrates tools utilizing a wide selection of actual info, together with clinical scientific trials, drug use through childrens, basketball capturing, horseshoe crab mating, environmental critiques, correlates of happiness, and lots more and plenty more.
An creation to specific information research, moment Edition is a useful instrument for social, behavioral, and biomedical scientists, in addition to researchers in public well-being, advertising, schooling, organic and agricultural sciences, and business caliber control.
By Joseph Schmuller
Take the secret out of statistical phrases and placed Excel to work!
If you must create and interpret statistics in company or school room settings, this easy-to-use consultant is simply what you wish. It indicates you ways to take advantage of Excel's strong instruments for statistical research, whether you could have by no means taken a path in records. examine the that means of phrases like suggest and median, margin of errors, usual deviation, and variations, and detect tips on how to interpret the records of way of life. you will learn how to use Excel formulation, charts, PivotTables, and different instruments to make feel of every thing from activities stats to clinical correlations.
- Statistics have a name for being demanding and math-intensive; this pleasant advisor makes statistical research with Excel effortless to understand
- Explains how one can use Excel to crunch numbers and interpret the information of daily life: revenues figures, playing odds, activities stats, a grading curve, and lots more and plenty more
- Covers formulation and features, charts and PivotTables, samples and general distributions, chances and similar distributions, developments, and correlations
- Clarifies statistical phrases resembling median vs. suggest, margin of mistakes, typical deviation, correlations, and permutations
Statistical research with Excel For Dummies, third Edition is helping you are making feel of statistics and use Excel's statistical research instruments on your day-by-day life.
By N. Gregory Mankiw
Rules OF MICROECONOMICS, 7th variation, remains to be the most well-liked and widely-used textual content within the economics lecture room. A textual content via a very good author and economist that stresses an important techniques with no overwhelming scholars with an way over element. an intensive replace has been made to maintain all chapters clean and correct with present fiscal assurance. MindTap, the leading edge on-line atmosphere is accessible with new improvements that come with Graph Builder and Adaptive try out Prep that permit scholars additional training in graph drawing and attempt overview. The 7th variation most advantageous ancillary package deal is the main vast within the undefined, utilizing a workforce of instructors/preparers which have been with the venture because the first variation.
By Herbert I. Weisberg
An unique account of willful lack of awareness and the way this precept pertains to smooth chance and statistical methods
Through a chain of colourful tales approximately nice thinkers and the issues they selected to unravel, the writer strains the old evolution of likelihood and explains how statistical tools have helped to propel medical examine. notwithstanding, the prior good fortune of facts has trusted massive, planned simplifications amounting to willful lack of knowledge, and this very luck now threatens destiny advances in drugs, the social sciences, and different fields. barriers of current equipment bring about common reversals of medical findings and suggestions, to the consternation of either scientists and the lay public.
Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty exposes the fallacy of concerning chance because the complete degree of our uncertainty. The e-book explains how statistical technique, notwithstanding significantly effective and influential during the last century, is forthcoming a hindrance. The deep and troubling divide among qualitative and quantitative modes of study, and among examine and perform, are reflections of this underlying challenge. the writer outlines a direction towards the re-engineering of information research to assist shut those gaps and speed up medical discovery.
Willful lack of know-how: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty offers crucial info and novel rules that are meant to be of curiosity to someone inquisitive about the way forward for medical examine. The e-book is principally pertinent for pros in information and similar fields, together with practising and learn clinicians, biomedical and social technology researchers, enterprise leaders, and policy-makers.
By Charu C. Aggarwal
Managing and Mining Graph facts is a complete survey e-book in graph administration and mining. It includes broad surveys on quite a few very important graph issues equivalent to graph languages, indexing, clustering, information new release, development mining, category, key-phrase seek, development matching, and privateness. It additionally experiences a couple of domain-specific eventualities comparable to circulate mining, net graphs, social networks, chemical and organic information. The chapters are written through renowned researchers within the box, and supply a vast viewpoint of the realm. this is often the 1st accomplished survey booklet within the rising subject of graph facts processing.
Managing and Mining Graph info is designed for a assorted viewers composed of professors, researchers and practitioners in undefined. This quantity can also be compatible as a reference e-book for advanced-level database scholars in computing device technological know-how and engineering.